NYSE
ALK
Last Price
US $46.87
KEY FIGURES
MKT CAP
$5.2B
EPS
TTM
$0.64
PEG
TTM
N/M
P/E
TTM
73.38x
P/S
TTM
0.37x
YIELD
0.00%
GROWTH
Revenue Y/Y
31.90%
(FY vs FY)
EBITDA Y/Y
Cash Flow (DCF)
Fair Value
Market $46.87
—
Default assumptions
EBITDA Multiple
Fair Value
Market $46.87
-48.03%
Default assumptions
Valuation
Financial
Performance
Financial risk - Cash flow debt coverage.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. cash flow to debt ratio of 18.12% indicates that the company cannot generate enough cash to cover its debt over time. This level indicates weak financial health.
Financial risk - Healthy cash flow growth.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s free cash flow has decreased -285.25% from $183.00M last year to $-339.00M, signaling decreasing performance
Financial risk - Healthy debt to equity ratio.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s debt to equity ratio is 1.79, which means that the company's assets are unhealthy financed, signaling financial risk. READ MORE: A ratio over 0.60 means the company finances its assets with debt, signaling financial risk. If ratio is negative, the company spent its own equity and risks bankruptcy
Financial risk - Healthy debt to equity ratio development.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s debt has increased relative to shareholder equity from 1.46 last year to 1.79 today, signaling weakened financials
Financial risk - Net debt/EBITDA.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. has a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.84x, which exceeds the 3.00x threshold, indicating high leverage and potential financial risk
Financial risk - ICR.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s interest coverage ratio is 0.83, which means that the company struggles to meet interest obligations, signaling financial risk.
Financial risk - Profit margin growth.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s profit margin has decreased (-84.94%) in the last year from 3.37% to 0.51%, signaling decreasing performance
Financial risk - Short term assets vs short term liabilities.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s short-term liabilities of $6.59G exceed its short-term assets of $3.27G, signaling financial risk
Decreasing performance - ROA.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s return on assets of 0.36% is lower than the 5.00% threshold, indicating inefficient asset utilization
Decreasing performance - Absolute return on equity.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s return on equity of 1.85%, is lower than 15.00%, indicating bad performance
Increasing performance - Earnings quality.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s operating cash flow exceeds its net income, indicating high-quality earnings backed by actual cash generation
Increasing performance - Earnings stability.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. had positive net income in 5.00 out of 5 years, indicating stable and consistent earnings
Decreasing performance - Free cash flow.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. has negative free cash flow, indicating the company is burning cash rather than generating it
Decreasing performance - FCF yield.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. has negative free cash flow, indicating cash burn
Decreasing performance - Healthy earnings growth.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s yearly earnings has decreased -74.68% since last year from $395.00M to $100.00M, signaling decreasing performance
Increasing performance - Healthy revenue growth.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s yearly revenue has increased 21.34% since last year from $11.73G to $14.24G, signaling increasing performance
Decreasing performance - ROIC.
ROIC 1.58% (Source: FMP key-metrics). Below the 5% partial-credit threshold. Score: 0 of 2. The 5% and 10% cutoffs anchor to typical US weighted-average cost of capital. Below 5% indicates the company is not generating returns above its likely cost of capital under this definition of invested capital. Invested capital here includes equity, non-current liabilities (pension obligations, deferred taxes, lease obligations), and short-term debt. Cash is not subtracted. Companies with substantial float, lease portfolios, or cash holdings will score lower under this definition than under narrower operating-capital definitions. See methodology.
Increasing performance - 3-year revenue CAGR.
Alaska Air Group, Inc.'s 3-year revenue CAGR of 13.86% is positive, indicating growing revenue over the past 3 years
Increasing performance - Revenue consistency.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. had revenue growth in 5.00 out of 5 years, indicating consistent revenue performance
Increasing performance - ROE consistency.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. had positive ROE in 5.00 out of 5 years, indicating consistent and reliable returns on equity
Overvalued - DCF valuation.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. has insufficient data to evaluate this check.
Overvalued - Earnings yield.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. has an earnings yield of 1.36%, which is below the 4.00% threshold, indicating the stock may be expensive relative to its earnings
Overvalued - EBITDA valuation.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. is overvalued relative to its fair value price of 24.36 based on EBITDA multiple model
Undervalued - EV/EBITDA.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. has an EV/EBITDA ratio of 8.88x, which is below the 20.00x threshold, indicating reasonable valuation relative to its operating earnings
Overvalued - PEG ratio value.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. has no meaningful EPS growth rate; PEG ratio cannot be computed.
Undervalued - P/B ratio.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. has a price-to-book ratio of 1.44x, which is below the 5.00x threshold, indicating reasonable valuation relative to its book value
Undervalued - P/S ratio.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. has a price-to-sales ratio of 0.37x, which is below the 8.00x threshold, indicating reasonable valuation relative to its revenue
Profit margin
Current Ratio
Capital Returns
1.85%
Return on equity
ROIC: 1.58%
Valuation History
86.7X
Price to Earnings
EV/EBITDA: 10.5X
Cash flow
Profit margin
-
(FY vs FY)
Cash flow Y/Y
5.35%
(FY vs FY)
EARNINGS FV (GRAHAM)
Fair Value
Market $46.87
86.15%
Default assumptions
Base valuations use default assumptions. Customize in the Valuator.