NYSE
FOR
Last Price
US $30.34
KEY FIGURES
MKT CAP
$1.5B
EPS
TTM
$3.28
PEG
TTM
N/M
P/E
TTM
9.24x
P/S
TTM
0.91x
YIELD
0.00%
GROWTH
Revenue Y/Y
12.27%
(FY vs FY)
EBITDA Y/Y
Cash Flow (DCF)
Fair Value
Market $30.34
—
Default assumptions
EBITDA Multiple
Fair Value
Market $30.34
-27.32%
Default assumptions
Valuation
Financial
Performance
Financial risk - Cash flow debt coverage.
Forestar Group Inc. cash flow to debt ratio of -24.20% indicates that the company cannot generate enough cash to cover its debt over time. This level indicates weak financial health.
Financial risk - Healthy cash flow growth.
Forestar Group Inc.'s free cash flow has decreased 24.47% from $-160.60M last year to $-199.90M, signaling decreasing performance
Financial stability - Healthy debt to equity ratio.
Forestar Group Inc.'s debt to equity ratio is 0.45, which means that the company's assets are healthy financed, signaling financial stability. READ MORE: A ratio under 0.60 means the company finances its assets with own equity, signaling financial stability and good management.
Financial risk - Healthy debt to equity ratio development.
Forestar Group Inc.'s debt has increased relative to shareholder equity from 0.45 last year to 0.45 today, signaling weakened financials
Financial stability - Net debt/EBITDA.
Forestar Group Inc. has a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.97x, which is below the 3.00x threshold, indicating healthy leverage and financial stability
Financial stability - ICR.
Forestar Group Inc. earns at least as much interest as it pays. Interest obligations are fully covered.
Financial risk - Profit margin growth.
Forestar Group Inc.'s profit margin has decreased (-27.28%) in the last year from 13.48% to 9.80%, signaling decreasing performance
Financial risk - Short term assets vs short term liabilities.
Forestar Group Inc.'s short-term liabilities of $442.70M exceed its short-term assets of $418.30M, signaling financial risk
Increasing performance - ROA.
Forestar Group Inc.'s return on assets of 5.28% is higher than the 5.00% threshold, indicating efficient asset utilization
Decreasing performance - Absolute return on equity.
Forestar Group Inc.'s return on equity of 9.49%, is lower than 15.00%, indicating bad performance
Decreasing performance - Earnings quality.
Forestar Group Inc.'s operating cash flow is lower than its net income, indicating that earnings may not be fully backed by cash generation
Increasing performance - Earnings stability.
Forestar Group Inc. had positive net income in 5.00 out of 5 years, indicating stable and consistent earnings
Decreasing performance - Free cash flow.
Forestar Group Inc. has negative free cash flow, indicating the company is burning cash rather than generating it
Decreasing performance - FCF yield.
Forestar Group Inc. has negative free cash flow, indicating cash burn
Decreasing performance - Healthy earnings growth.
Forestar Group Inc.'s yearly earnings has decreased -17.45% since last year from $203.40M to $167.90M, signaling decreasing performance
Increasing performance - Healthy revenue growth.
Forestar Group Inc.'s yearly revenue has increased 10.14% since last year from $1.51G to $1.66G, signaling increasing performance
Decreasing performance - ROIC.
ROIC -236.53% (Source: FMP key-metrics). Below the 5% partial-credit threshold. Score: 0 of 2. The 5% and 10% cutoffs anchor to typical US weighted-average cost of capital. Below 5% indicates the company is not generating returns above its likely cost of capital under this definition of invested capital. Invested capital here includes equity, non-current liabilities (pension obligations, deferred taxes, lease obligations), and short-term debt. Cash is not subtracted. Companies with substantial float, lease portfolios, or cash holdings will score lower under this definition than under narrower operating-capital definitions. See methodology.
Increasing performance - 3-year revenue CAGR.
Forestar Group Inc.'s 3-year revenue CAGR of 3.05% is positive, indicating growing revenue over the past 3 years
Increasing performance - Revenue consistency.
Forestar Group Inc. had revenue growth in 4.00 out of 5 years, indicating consistent revenue performance
Increasing performance - ROE consistency.
Forestar Group Inc. had positive ROE in 5.00 out of 5 years, indicating consistent and reliable returns on equity
Overvalued - DCF valuation.
Forestar Group Inc. has insufficient data to evaluate this check.
Undervalued - Earnings yield.
Forestar Group Inc. has an earnings yield of 10.82%, which is above the 4.00% threshold, indicating the stock offers reasonable value relative to its earnings
Overvalued - EBITDA valuation.
Forestar Group Inc. is overvalued relative to its fair value price of 22.05 based on EBITDA multiple model
Undervalued - EV/EBITDA.
Forestar Group Inc. has an EV/EBITDA ratio of 8.91x, which is below the 20.00x threshold, indicating reasonable valuation relative to its operating earnings
Overvalued - PEG ratio value.
Forestar Group Inc. has no meaningful EPS growth rate; PEG ratio cannot be computed.
Undervalued - P/B ratio.
Forestar Group Inc. has a price-to-book ratio of 0.85x, which is below the 5.00x threshold, indicating reasonable valuation relative to its book value
Undervalued - P/S ratio.
Forestar Group Inc. has a price-to-sales ratio of 0.91x, which is below the 8.00x threshold, indicating reasonable valuation relative to its revenue
Profit margin
Current Ratio
Capital Returns
9.49%
Return on equity
ROIC: -236.53%
Valuation History
9.3X
Price to Earnings
EV/EBITDA: 9.1X
Cash flow
Profit margin
23.58%
(FY vs FY)
Cash flow Y/Y
-3.30%
(FY vs FY)
EARNINGS FV (GRAHAM)
Fair Value
Market $30.34
185.10%
Default assumptions
Base valuations use default assumptions. Customize in the Valuator.